BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 4 Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength = 158.75
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (9-3)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Home W 162.01 38 15 1A 33 ( 9- 4) West Virginia 3.26 19.74
2 09/09/2023 Home W 172.04 63 7 1B 19 ( 9- 4) Delaware 13.28 * 42.72
3 09/16/2023 Away W * 149.58 30 13 1A 70 ( 5- 7) Illinois -9.18 26.18
4 09/23/2023 Home W * 165.17 31 0 1A 52 ( 10- 4) Iowa 6.41 24.59
5 09/30/2023 Away W * 163.42 41 13 1A 60 ( 8- 5) Northwestern 4.67 23.33
6 10/14/2023 Home W 171.95 63 0 1A 127 ( 3- 9) Massachusetts 13.20 * 49.80
7 10/21/2023 Away L * 152.57 12 20 1A 6 ( 11- 2) Ohio State -6.18 -1.82
8 10/28/2023 Home W * 135.05 33 24 1A 79 ( 3- 9) Indiana -23.70 * 32.70
9 11/04/2023 Away W * 179.94 51 15 1A 30 ( 8- 5) Maryland 21.19 14.81
10 11/11/2023 Home L * 151.32 15 24 1A 2 ( 14- 0) Michigan -7.44 -1.56
11 11/18/2023 Home W * 155.52 27 6 1A 50 ( 7- 6) Rutgers -3.23 24.23
12 11/24/2023 Neutral W * 167.94 42 0 1A 90 ( 4- 8) Michigan St 9.19 * 32.81
13 12/30/2023 Unknown L 137.29 25 38 1A 16 ( 11- 2) Mississippi -21.47 8.47
Averages 158.75 36.2 13.5
Best game: 179.94 = 36 point win over Maryland
Worst game: 135.05 = 9 point win over Indiana
Team stdev: 13.44